Avocado farmers in the rolling hillside orchards of Mexico's Michoacan state say U.S. President Donald Trump's threats to tear up a trade deal could make one of America's favourite snacks more expensive, but doubt it will dent exports. David Pollard reports.
It can take courage. While some reach up to the sky, others have to climb into it. But going green means something different here - growing and harvesting avocados a two billion dollar export business for Mexico. And if the US chooses to impose tariffs on them, it could be the US that suffers. (SOUNDBITE) (Spanish) RAMON PAZ, SPOKESMAN FOR MEXICAN EXPORTERS GROUP APEAM, SAYING: "If the United States does that, it makes it more expensive for US consumers. No other country can supply as many as we can. Eight out of ten avocados in the US come from Mexico." 100,000 tonnes of avocados went north to its neighbour - just to feed guacamole demand during the Superbowl. 200 million of them - or around an eighth of annual US demand. In the world's largest exporter of avocados, this state of Michoagan is by far the largest producer. The United States by far the largest customer. But that too, warns Ramon, could change. (SOUNDBITE) (Spanish) RAMON PAZ, SPOKESMAN FOR MEXICAN EXPORTERS GROUP APEAM, SAYING: "After the US, the main markets are Japan and Canada. The market growing most is China, which is doubling its consumption every year. And certainly there are opportunities in Europe." What's making Donald Trump angry is a 60 billion dollar trade deficit with Mexico. A 20 per cent border tax on all Mexican goods threatened - though 35 per cent has also been mentioned by Trump's aides. For growers this green fruit is a symbol of NAFTA. But that free trade agreement could face the threat - at just 23 years of age - of an early grave.